Few sides are better equipped and in as good a run of form to take on the league leaders than Gremio currently, having won six of their last seven league games.
Despite their near-imperious record so far this season, Botafogo will find it difficult against a side hoping to close the gap, and there may not be much between the sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.11) 
