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Brasileiro | Gameweek 33
Nov 9, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
G

Botafogo
3 - 4
Gremio

Costa (6'), Santos (29'), Freitas (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Galdino (9'), Suarez (50', 53', 69')
Carballo (25'), Pedro (79')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawGremio
51.15% (0.178 0.18) 23.76% (0.19 0.19) 25.09% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-1.003 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-1.153 -1.15)45.4% (1.157 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-1.113 -1.11)67.73% (1.116 1.12)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.366 -0.37)17.78% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-0.636 -0.64)48.49% (0.639 0.64)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.913 -0.91)32.03% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-1.052 -1.05)68.5% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 51.15%
    Gremio 25.09%
    Draw 23.75%
BotafogoDrawGremio
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 11.19% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 25.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Botafogo
Monday, November 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-4 Palmeiras
Thursday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, October 29 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 22 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Botafogo
Thursday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-2 Gremio
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 3-4 Gremio
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 26 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, October 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro


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