While Corinthians are yet to find consistency in the league this season, their home record is among the best in the division, and they have not lost a league match to this opponent at Neo Quimica Arena in their last nine encounters at the venue.
However, Botafogo are looking very good this term under new head coach Artur Jorge, and we feel they will be able to take at least a share of the spoils from this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.05) 
