Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
