Ceara
3 - 2
Gremio

Cleber (36'), Rick (42'), Jorginho (90+4')
Messias (63'), Buiu (86'), Charles (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vanderson (45+4'), Viana (49')
Thiago (57'), Geromel (61'), Robert (90+2')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Gremio
35.14%	27.99%	36.87%

Both teams to score 47.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.77%

58.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.13%

78.87%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22%

67.78%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51%

66.49%

Score Analysis

Ceara 35.13%

Gremio 36.87%

Draw 27.99%

Ceara	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.87%