Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Aragua win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
Result | ||
Aragua | Draw | Gremio |
27.82% | 23.34% | 48.83% |
Both teams to score 59.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.69% | 41.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.3% | 63.69% |
Aragua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% | 63.38% |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.89% | 17.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.68% | 47.31% |
Score Analysis |
Aragua | Draw | Gremio |
2-1 @ 6.88% 1-0 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.47% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.04% Total : 48.83% |
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