Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Gremio and Club Guarani.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Club Guarani had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Club Guarani win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
