Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Club Guarani had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Club Guarani win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
