Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Avai had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.15) 
