Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 44.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.