Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
