Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
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