Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 48.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.02) 
