Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
