Being in San Lorenzo's position can be dangerous, as they may be rather passive and sit back to try and avoid defeat, which we believe will suit the Brazilians just fine.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
-0.25) 
0.11) 
