SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 54.79% | 26.46% | 18.75% |
| Both teams to score 40.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% | 61.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% | 81.54% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.49% | 56.51% |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.36% | 47.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.04% | 82.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 16.05% 2-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.5% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.75% |
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