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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Dec 1, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
0 - 1
LDU Quito


Alison (45'), Soteldo (59'), Leonardo (90+2'), John (90+23')
Felipe (90+22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zunino (66')
Ayala (46'), Caicedo (89')
Aguirre (90+12'), Villarruel (90+23')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Santos and LDU Quito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawLDU Quito
54.79%26.46%18.75%
Both teams to score 40.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26%61.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46%81.54%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2%22.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49%56.51%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.36%47.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04%82.96%
Score Analysis
    Santos 54.77%
    LDU Quito 18.75%
    Draw 26.45%
SantosDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 16.05%
2-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 4.34%
4-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 54.77%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.75%


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