Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.