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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
FL

Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Freiburg

Santamaria (68' og.)
Klos (56'), Voglsammer (58'), de Medina (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Santamaria (56'), Schmid (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawFreiburg
29.63%26.81%43.56%
Both teams to score 49.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97%55.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.71%76.29%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43%33.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79%70.21%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24%59.76%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 29.63%
    Freiburg 43.55%
    Draw 26.81%
Arminia BielefeldDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 8.06%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.55%

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