Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 0-3 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.