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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Apr 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
S

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Schalke

Alario (26'), Schick (72')
Tapsoba (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Huntelaar (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
69.47%17.37%13.16%
Both teams to score 55.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.25%56.75%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98%9.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.27%30.72%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44%38.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69%75.3%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 69.46%
    Schalke 04 13.16%
    Draw 17.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSchalke 04
2-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 8.37%
3-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 3.67%
5-0 @ 2.34%
5-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 2.21%
5-2 @ 1.06%
6-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 69.46%
1-1 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.57%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.8%
0-1 @ 3.32%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 13.16%

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