Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.