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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 17, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
FL

Bayern
2 - 1
Freiburg

FT(HT: 1-0)
Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 85.3%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 4-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.97%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
85.3%9.35%5.35%
Both teams to score 55.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.2%19.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.17%37.83%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.84%3.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.9%14.1%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96%43.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68%79.32%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 85.3%
    Freiburg 5.35%
    Draw 9.35%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
3-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.13%
4-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.9%
2-1 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 6.83%
5-0 @ 5.6%
5-1 @ 4.72%
1-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.33%
6-0 @ 3.23%
4-2 @ 2.88%
6-1 @ 2.72%
5-2 @ 1.99%
7-0 @ 1.59%
7-1 @ 1.34%
6-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 85.3%
1-1 @ 3.97%
2-2 @ 2.89%
0-0 @ 1.36%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 9.35%
1-2 @ 1.67%
0-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 5.35%

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