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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 28, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
FL

Augsburg
1 - 1
Freiburg

Vargas (80')
Caligiuri (20'), Gumny (24'), Uduokhai (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grifo (64')
Demirovic (7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
34.13%24.91%40.96%
Both teams to score 57.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38%45.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05%67.95%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14%60.85%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77%22.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35%55.65%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 34.13%
    Freiburg 40.96%
    Draw 24.91%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.9%
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 11.69%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.96%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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