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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
FL

Dortmund
4 - 0
Freiburg

Braut Haaland (31', 66'), Can (47'), Passlack (90+2')
Hummels (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chang-Hoon (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
63.63%20.24%16.12%
Both teams to score 53.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12%41.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.72%64.28%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5%12.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5%38.5%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.77%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 63.63%
    Freiburg 16.12%
    Draw 20.24%
Borussia DortmundDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.55%
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 63.63%
1-1 @ 9.55%
0-0 @ 4.88%
2-2 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.59%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.12%


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