Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
63.63% | 20.24% | 16.12% |
Both teams to score 53.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% | 41.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.72% | 64.28% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% | 12.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.5% | 38.5% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% | 39.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% | 75.77% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10.55% 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.45% Total : 63.63% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.59% 1-2 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.12% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: