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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
WB

Freiburg
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
35.19%26.12%38.69%
Both teams to score 53.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23%50.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34%72.66%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4%60.6%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 35.19%
    Werder Bremen 38.69%
    Draw 26.11%
FreiburgDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 9.67%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.69%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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