Despite losing Diaby, Leverkusen have scored six goals across their opening two victories, and they will fancy their chances of reaching double figures in the goals-scored column this weekend.
Darmstadt conceded four goals at home to Union Berlin despite having an extra player for the majority of the match, so they are seriously up against it to avoid receiving a beating from Alonso's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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