If the opening weekend of the Bundesliga season is anything to go by, Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen will likely dish up another eventful encounter.
Given the previous results of these two sides, we expect Gladbach and Leverkusen to play out a high-scoring draw on Saturday, with both teams netting multiple goals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.