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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
35.66% ( -0.13) | 24.21% ( -0.07) | 40.12% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.31) | 42.06% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( 0.31) | 64.46% ( -0.31) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.07) | 23.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 0.1) | 57.3% ( -0.11) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.22) | 21.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 0.35) | 53.9% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.12% |
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