SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
54.7% ( 0.13) | 22.6% ( 0.49) | 22.71% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.37% ( -2.99) | 42.63% ( 2.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( -3.04) | 65.03% ( 3.03) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -1) | 15.51% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -1.88) | 44.41% ( 1.87) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( -2.2) | 32.55% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% ( -2.54) | 69.09% ( 2.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.9)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.64)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.71% |
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