Leverkusen are likely to be angry yet highly fatigued after their exerted efforts against Roma ultimately came to nothing, and we believe Gladbach can defy their awful away record to gain a positive result on Sunday.
Farke's side always carry an attacking threat in transition and, although it is hard to envisage them keeping Leverkusen out at the other end, we expect to see an entertaining end-of-season affair at the BayArena.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
0.64) 
-0.29) 
