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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
WB

Bayern
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Kimmich (17'), de Ligt (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiser (59')
Schmid (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 5-0 Werder Bremen

Bayern's dominance over Bremen in recent years goes even beyond the levels the Bavarians are accustomed to, and another big win could be on the cards, despite some injury concerns. Bremen have lost 27 of their last 28 games against Bayern, and the rate at which they concede goals at the Allianz is of great concern for manager Werner heading into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 83.23%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 6.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 4-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
83.23% (0.46299999999999 0.46) 10.74% (-0.202 -0.2) 6.03% (-0.2569 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.17% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.29% (-0.13 -0.13)24.71% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.46% (-0.172 -0.17)44.53% (0.177 0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.72% (0.051000000000002 0.05)4.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.25% (0.14700000000001 0.15)17.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5% (-0.875 -0.88)45.5% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67% (-0.697 -0.7)81.33% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 83.22%
    Werder Bremen 6.03%
    Draw 10.74%
Bayern MunichDrawWerder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.15% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 8% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
5-0 @ 5.05% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 3.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.095 -0.1)
6-0 @ 2.65% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.09% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 83.22%
1-1 @ 4.83% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 1.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 10.74%
1-2 @ 1.9% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 6.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Hoffenheim
Friday, January 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayern
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, December 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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