SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Stuttgart |
42.11% ( -0.42) | 22.71% ( 0.18) | 35.17% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 66.09% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.84) | 34.71% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.33% ( -0.95) | 56.67% ( 0.94) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.51) | 17.13% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( -0.9) | 47.36% ( 0.89) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.27) | 20.23% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.42) | 52.56% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.17% |
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