SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.76% ( 0.08) | 16.27% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.45% ( 0) | 27.55% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0) | 48.18% ( 0) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( 0.1) | 32.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( 0.12) | 69.35% ( -0.11) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.9% ( -0.02) | 7.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.11% ( -0.06) | 25.89% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 13.76% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.33% 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.27% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.97% |
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