Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.