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ML
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 29, 2020 at 5pm UK
Coface Arena
HL

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Quaison (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bebou (62')
Geiger (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
22.29%21.79%55.92%
Both teams to score 59.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86%31.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53%67.47%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99%14.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46%41.54%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 22.29%
    Hoffenheim 55.92%
    Draw 21.79%
Mainz 05DrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 5.84%
1-0 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 22.29%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 6.44%
0-3 @ 5.52%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 2.71%
2-4 @ 1.85%
1-5 @ 1.24%
0-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.92%

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