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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
LL

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-3 RB Leipzig

This looks set to be an intriguing tie at the BayArena on Sunday, and it is one that could see two quality sides cancel each other out, or see a flurry of goals between two prolific attacking teams. We are predicting the latter, with the visitors coming out on top after producing far more consistent displays over recent weeks and possessing the greater momentum thanks to some exceptional performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
37.01%22%41%
Both teams to score 69.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.28%30.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.94%52.06%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42%17.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.85%48.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07%15.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8%45.21%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.01%
    RB Leipzig 41%
    Draw 22%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.78%
1-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.8%
4-3 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 8.95%
2-2 @ 7.14%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 2.01%
0-4 @ 1.33%
3-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-1 Atalanta
Thursday, March 17 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atalanta 3-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 RB Leipzig
Thursday, April 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, April 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-6 RB Leipzig
Sunday, March 13 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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