This looks set to be an intriguing tie at the BayArena on Sunday, and it is one that could see two quality sides cancel each other out, or see a flurry of goals between two prolific attacking teams. We are predicting the latter, with the visitors coming out on top after producing far more consistent displays over recent weeks and possessing the greater momentum thanks to some exceptional performances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
37.01%	22%	41%

Both teams to score 69.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.28%

30.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94%

52.06%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.85%

48.15%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07%

15.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.8%

45.21%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 37.01%

RB Leipzig 41%

Draw 22%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.14% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22%	1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.81% Total : 41%