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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.8% ( 0.14) | 22.41% ( -0.03) | 35.79% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.14) | 33.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.2% ( 0.16) | 54.8% ( -0.16) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.11) | 16.59% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( 0.2) | 46.39% ( -0.2) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.01) | 19.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( 0.02) | 50.86% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79% |
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