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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
BM

Dortmund
5 - 2
Borussia M'bach

Malen (5'), Bellingham (18' pen.), Haller (20', 32'), Reyna (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Bensebaini (75' pen.), Stindl (85')
Bensebaini (77'), Kramer (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

When you couple Dortmund's strong home form with Gladbach's woeful record on the road, all the signs point towards another convincing BVB win at Signal Iduna Park. Given that Terzic's men have been firing in goals for fun on home soil, we can see Dortmund notching a high-scoring victory at the expense of the Foals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
78.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 12.86% (0.022 0.02) 8.91% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.2% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.13% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)43.87% (0.108 0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)4.94% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.18% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)19.81% (0.064 0.06)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)38.04% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)74.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 78.22%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 8.91%
    Draw 12.86%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.52% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
6-2 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 78.22%
1-1 @ 5.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97%
0-0 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 12.86%
1-2 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
0-1 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 8.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 6-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Friday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, April 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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