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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
DL

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Hummels (25'), Guerreiro (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Gladbach appear to be struggling from a lack of belief at present, and we expect Dortmund to punish them on Friday night. BVB's defeat to Wolfsburg was disappointing but no disgrace given Kovac's side's form of late, and they will be determined to ensure that their gap behind Bayern does not grow during the final weekend of action prior to the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
25.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 20.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 53.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 67.41% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.33% (0.076999999999998 0.08)30.66% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.01% (0.092000000000006 0.09)51.98% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (0.063000000000002 0.06)23.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (0.094999999999999 0.09)57.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (0.012 0.01)11.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 25.99%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.17%
    Draw 20.83%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.99%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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