SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
25.99% ( 0.03) | 20.83% ( -0.01) | 53.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.08) | 30.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.01% ( 0.09) | 51.98% ( -0.1) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( 0.06) | 23.48% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( 0.09) | 57.5% ( -0.1) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.01) | 11.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.78% ( 0.04) | 37.21% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 25.99% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.17% |
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