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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
FL

Borussia M'bach
0 - 3
Freiburg


Itakura (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (7'), Rohl (47'), Doan (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Freiburg

With their season at serious risk of petering out, we are not expecting much from Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday afternoon at Borussia Park. Freiburg played well in their defeat to Leverkusen before the break, and we reckon that the Breisgau Brazilians will take that positive momentum into this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
59.95% (3.459 3.46) 21.19% (-0.464 -0.46) 18.86% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-3.339 -3.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-2.111 -2.11)41.41% (2.109 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-2.175 -2.18)63.81% (2.172 2.17)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.36099999999999 0.36)13.43% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.722 0.72)40.39% (-0.724 -0.72)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (-4.145 -4.15)35.59% (4.142 4.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (-4.531 -4.53)72.35% (4.528 4.53)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 59.95%
    Freiburg 18.86%
    Draw 21.19%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.63% (1.122 1.12)
1-0 @ 9.6% (1.004 1)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.827 0.83)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.452 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 59.95%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.554 -0.55)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.442 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.19%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.629 -0.63)
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.426 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.453 -0.45)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 18.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: West Ham 5-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, March 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 2-2 Bayern
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, February 25 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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