SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
59.95% ( 3.46) | 21.19% ( -0.46) | 18.86% ( -3) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -3.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -2.11) | 41.41% ( 2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -2.18) | 63.81% ( 2.17) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( 0.36) | 13.43% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.61% ( 0.72) | 40.39% ( -0.72) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( -4.15) | 35.59% ( 4.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.64% ( -4.53) | 72.35% ( 4.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 1.12)1-0 @ 9.6% ( 1)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.83)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.27% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.55)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.45)Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.86% |
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