Although Mainz have won both of their away games this season, we expect Gladbach to record another victory on Sunday.
Die Fohlen have hugely improved under Farke's management so far and they clearly have the more talented individuals to gain a win; providing they perform on the day, of course.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
1.23) 
-0.35) 
