Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
