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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
EF

Freiburg
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Ginter (47')
Eggestein (23'), Hofler (58'), Keitel (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (42')
Kamada (22'), N'Dicka (59'), Lindstrom (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Freiburg could play with a less expansive style than usual after their heavy defeat at the weekend, with both teams potentially cancelling each other out as a result. Moreover, with so much at stake in terms of influencing the top-four race, neither manager will want to lose ground on each other in the table, so a share of the spoils seems the most likely outcome on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
40.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 24.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 34.55% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Both teams to score 59.11% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.23% (-0.359 -0.36)43.77% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.84% (-0.353 -0.35)66.15% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)21.44% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)54.46% (0.45 0.45)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)24.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)59.31% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.92%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 34.55%
    Draw 24.53%
FreiburgDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 6-2 Hamburger SV
Friday, January 13 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Freiburg 4-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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