Despite their defeat in midweek, Werder's away form paired with Freiburg's recent fall off in league results suggests we could see another win on the road for Ole Werner's side.
Freiburg's standards have dropped domestically in the last month and they could surrender their top four position if they do not put that right here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
2.61) 
-0.44) 
