SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
48.65% ( 2.61) | 23.44% ( -0.44) | 27.9% ( -2.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.7) | 41.71% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.71) | 64.11% ( -0.7) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.67% ( 1.3) | 17.33% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.29% ( 2.23) | 47.71% ( -2.23) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -1.12) | 27.95% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( -1.45) | 63.58% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
