SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
50.98% ( -0.03) | 23.6% ( 0.09) | 25.42% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -0.48) | 44.39% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -0.47) | 66.77% ( 0.47) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.19) | 17.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( -0.34) | 47.95% ( 0.34) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.31) | 31.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -0.36) | 67.57% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.98% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
