SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Freiburg |
19.66% ( 0.05) | 23.9% ( -0.01) | 56.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 0.09) | 51.79% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.08) | 73.56% ( -0.08) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.11) | 40.77% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( 0.09) | 77.35% ( -0.1) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 0.02) | 18.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( 0.03) | 49.18% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.66% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.77% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.43% |
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