SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
32.25% ( -0.25) | 23.61% ( -0.03) | 44.13% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( 0.05) | 40.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( 0.05) | 62.46% ( -0.05) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.12) | 24.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% ( -0.17) | 58.73% ( 0.17) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.14) | 18.49% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( 0.23) | 49.7% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 44.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
