Freiburg may be a little tired from their European exploits on Thursday, but we expect them to have too much quality for Schalke in the end.
The hosts have lost six successive matches in all competitions and it is likely to take time for Reis's desired methods to have an impact, but they should show more fight than of late at least.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.28) 
