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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
DL

Frankfurt
1 - 2
Dortmund

Kamada (26')
Pellegrini (16'), Lindstrom (60'), Rode (90+3'), Tuta (90+5'), Trapp (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brandt (21'), Bellingham (52')
Ozcan (66'), Can (70'), Hummels (81'), Reyna (90+5'), Bellingham (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

The Bundesliga's Saturday night game should be a highly absorbing affair this weekend, with both teams playing an attractive style of football in recent weeks. In truth, with Frankfurt benefitting from home advantage, it is difficult to split them from Dortmund, so we can envisage a score draw at Deutsch Bank Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
31.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 44.01% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.209 -0.21)46.02% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.197 -0.2)68.33% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.248 -0.25)27.89% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-0.317 -0.32)63.5% (0.32 0.32)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 31.19%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 24.79%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.015 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.19%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Marseille
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgarter Kickers 0-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Spurs 3-2 Frankfurt
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Man City
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hannover 0-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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