We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
This tie is a tough one to call considering how evenly matched the two sides appear heading into the encounter, as well as their similar lack of options due to various injuries and COVID-19 absences.
The hosts would usually be expected to win this tie, particularly with home advantage, but due to their serious struggles of late, we are predicting a tight game that will finish as a draw on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
