Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 58.44%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.