Union Berlin
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim

Two sides who enter the clash in strong form, while boasting respective European hopes. Home advantage could be to Union's benefit, yet whether or not that is enough to secure all three points remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
41.27%	24.44%	34.29%

Both teams to score 59.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.63%

43.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23%

65.76%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89%

21.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74%

59.25%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 41.27%

Hoffenheim 34.29%

Draw 24.43%

Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.27%	1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.29%