Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.