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Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
S

Hoffenheim
3 - 3
Stuttgart

Baumgartner (16'), Sessegnon (48'), Kramaric (71' pen.)
Sessegnon (4'), Posch (77'), Geiger (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gonzalez (18'), Wamangituka (27'), Kempf (90+2')
Castro (30'), Kempf (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
34.61%22.35%43.04%
Both teams to score 67.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.94%33.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21%54.78%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25%19.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21%51.79%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49%45.5%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 34.61%
    Stuttgart 43.04%
    Draw 22.35%
HoffenheimDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 5.16%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.53%
4-3 @ 0.93%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.18%
3-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-1 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.23%
1-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.47%
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.04%


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