Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
35.81% | 27.97% | 36.22% |
Both teams to score 47.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.88% | 58.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% | 78.78% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% | 30.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% | 67.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% | 66.91% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: